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2023 projected NFL draft order: Texans, Lions top first round

The Houston Texans and the Detroit Lions have the best chance to have the top picks in the 2023 NFL draft, according to the updated projections from the ESPN Football Power Index (FPI). The 1-5-1 Texans -- who picked third in the 2022 draft -- have a 27.3% chance to land the top selection after a 17-10 loss to the Tennessee Titans. They're followed in our draft order projections by the 1-6 Lions (29.1%), who are coming off their fifth straight loss of the season after falling to the Miami Dolphins 31-27 in Week 8.